Tunisian olive harvest 2025-2026: record figures

In brief. The Tunisian olive campaign 2025-2026 is set to be a record: production estimated at 400-500 kt that confirms Tunisia as the world's no. 2, exports up +57.9% in volume over the first 7 months and export revenue of 4,058 M TND (+44.9%). Bulk remains dominant (87.5%); Spain, Italy and the USA absorb most of the volume. For an importer, this is a favorable sourcing window to seize early.

A record campaign changes the buying equation: more volume available, prices easing at the start of the season, and increased pressure on quota certificates. Here are the key figures to know before you quote — all dated and to be re-checked at source.

Record production: 400-500 kt

Tunisian olive oil production for 2025-2026 is estimated at 400-500 kt, a record level that places Tunisia in 2nd place worldwide, behind Spain. Globally, total production comes in around ~3.44 Mt.

This high volume is explained by the favorable alternate bearing of olive trees (a strong year after a weaker one) and by the extent of the Tunisian orchard, cultivated in a low-intensity way. For the buyer, an abundant harvest generally means better availability and more accessible early-season prices — a context tracked continuously on our price observatory.

Exports up sharply

Over the first 7 months of the campaign, Tunisian exports rose markedly:

Indicator	2025-26 value
Volume exported	+57.9%
Export revenue	4,058 M TND (+44.9%)
Share of bulk	87.5%
Share of packaged	12.5%
Average price (May 2026)	12.96 TND/kg (8.69–16.91 by category)
Organic packaged price	17.06 TND/kg vs bulk 13.81 (+24%)

The rise in value (+44.9%) remains below that of volume (+57.9%), reflecting an easing of average prices linked to the abundance of supply — logical in a record year. Bulk still dominates by far (87.5%), confirming Tunisia's role as a supply source for basins that re-export or bottle.

Where does Tunisian olive oil go?

The campaign's destinations break down as follows:

Destination	Share of exports
Spain	33.6%
Italy	19.5%
United States	18.3%
Saudi Arabia	5.5%
Canada	3%
France	2.4%
Egypt + others	balance

Spain and Italy remain the leading outlets: part of this oil is re-exported or bottled under brand in these countries. This industrial reality illustrates Tunisia's quality-price positioning, detailed on the origin comparison page.

What the record campaign changes for an importer

• Availability — an abundant harvest makes it easier to secure volumes, including organic.
• Price — early-season prices often ease in a record year; the bulk price at origin sits from ~3.80 €/kg.
• EU quota — the 0% quota) is used up every year: an active campaign accelerates its saturation, hence the value of ordering early.
• Quality — fresh oil from the new harvest shows the best profiles (acidity, polyphenols); always require the COA per lot.

The mistake to avoid

Waiting until mid-campaign to negotiate. In a record year, the best volumes and the most favorable prices are secured at the start of the season, when the fresh oil arrives and quota certificates are still available. Postponing means risking paying more during the lean period.

FAQ

What is Tunisia's olive oil production in 2025-2026?

It is estimated at 400-500 kt, a record level that confirms Tunisia in 2nd place worldwide. Total world production comes in around ~3.44 Mt. These figures are dated and to be re-checked at source before any commitment.

By how much have Tunisian exports grown?

Over the first 7 months of the campaign, exports rose by +57.9% in volume and export revenue reached 4,058 M TND (+44.9%). The rise in value remains below that of volume, a sign of easing average prices.

What is the average price of exported Tunisian olive oil?

In May 2026, the average price came in at 12.96 TND/kg (range 8.69–16.91 by category). Organic packaged trades around 17.06 TND/kg, i.e. a premium of about +24% over bulk. See the price observatory for prices in €/kg.

What share of exports is bulk?

Bulk represents 87.5% of exports, versus 12.5% for packaged. This predominance reflects Tunisia's role as a supply source for basins that re-export or bottle.

To which countries does Tunisia export?

Mainly Spain (33.6%), Italy (19.5%) and the United States (18.3%), followed by Saudi Arabia, Canada and France. Part of the oil sent to Spain and Italy is re-exported or bottled under brand there.

Should you buy at the start or in the middle of a record campaign?

At the start of the campaign. In a record year, the fresh oil arrives, prices ease and EU quota certificates remain available. Waiting exposes you to tighter prices during the lean period and a risk of quota saturation.

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Want to take advantage of the record campaign? Request a dated quote: quotation by format, category and incoterm within 24-48h. Track prices on the price observatory and compare origins on the comparison.

Article in English. 2025-2026 campaign figures dated (July 2026) and; no data fabricated, values taken from industry surveys.